Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000284 0.000318 0.000354 0.000395 0.000441 0.000490 0.000547
2025-05-11 0.000238 0.000283 0.000335 0.000398 0.000472 0.000557 0.000661
2025-05-18 0.000201 0.000253 0.000315 0.000394 0.000493 0.000611 0.000765
2025-05-25 0.000176 0.000233 0.000303 0.000398 0.000521 0.000676 0.000886
2025-06-01 0.000154 0.000212 0.000288 0.000394 0.000538 0.000726 0.000992
2025-06-08 0.000136 0.000196 0.000276 0.000393 0.000557 0.000780 0.001105
2025-06-15 0.000123 0.000183 0.000267 0.000394 0.000578 0.000837 0.001227
2025-06-22 0.000110 0.000170 0.000257 0.000391 0.000592 0.000884 0.001338
2025-06-29 0.000102 0.000163 0.000253 0.000397 0.000619 0.000951 0.001482
2025-07-06 0.000094 0.000154 0.000247 0.000399 0.000640 0.001010 0.001617
2025-07-13 0.000086 0.000145 0.000238 0.000395 0.000652 0.001054 0.001732
2025-07-20 0.000082 0.000142 0.000239 0.000406 0.000687 0.001137 0.001915
2025-07-27 0.000076 0.000136 0.000235 0.000411 0.000714 0.001212 0.002092
2025-08-03 0.000071 0.000130 0.000232 0.000415 0.000739 0.001285 0.002272
2025-08-10 0.000065 0.000123 0.000224 0.000412 0.000751 0.001336 0.002420
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000119 0.000221 0.000416 0.000777 0.001414 0.002619
2025-08-24 0.000057 0.000112 0.000214 0.000412 0.000788 0.001464 0.002772
2025-08-31 0.000053 0.000107 0.000209 0.000411 0.000803 0.001524 0.002946
2025-09-07 0.000049 0.000103 0.000205 0.000412 0.000823 0.001593 0.003143
2025-09-14 0.000046 0.000098 0.000199 0.000409 0.000834 0.001646 0.003312
2025-09-21 0.000044 0.000095 0.000198 0.000415 0.000863 0.001736 0.003560
2025-09-28 0.000041 0.000092 0.000195 0.000418 0.000885 0.001812 0.003786
2025-10-05 0.000038 0.000087 0.000189 0.000414 0.000893 0.001863 0.003965